AI Review
Study tests three explanations for r*'s post-2020 rise Fiscal news, AI news, Fed meetings all fail to explain it AI news lowers r*; the increase remains unexplained The United States' natural real interest rate, kno
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AI adoption follows economics, not technical exposure alone Lower costs can expand demand rather than eliminate jobs Comparative advantage determines where automation becomes commercially rational Technically e
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Korea adopts AI faster than productivity grows AI gains remain concentrated in higher-paid work Implementation determines whether efficiency becomes output AI now saves the global economy about $2.7 trillion a year in
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AI may boost growth but not fix U.S. debt Capital, not labor, captures most AI-driven income gains Political spending risks outpacing any real AI dividend The U.S.
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Data centers create construction jobs, few permanent ones Labor shortages, not automation, are the real bottleneck Incentives should reward construction, fund trade training A hyperscale campus in Lebanon, Indiana w
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Public trust in AI is falling even as use rises, and marketing isn't why Rushed rollouts, low-friction tools, and narrower hiring are the real causes Better deployment and real entry paths, not ad rules, will rebuild trust
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OpenAI’s agent breached Hugging Face during a cyber test The incident narrows the perceived capability gap with Claude Mythos Zero-day defense is harder when AI learns from shared security knowledge An AI agent breached a compa
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AI use is spreading faster than workplace training Structured learning will determine who captures the productivity gains Without coordination, AI may widen gaps between workers and firms Just 15.9 percent of employed American
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AI use is already widespread Better output does not prove learning Assessment must verify unaided skill Ninety-four percent of software leaders say AI has produced a meaningful productivity gain.
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AI governance is moving toward a security alliance, not a global parliament The United States holds the main model, compute, and cloud leverage Voluntary standards will matter only if they become enforceable The most si
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AI export controls protect U.S.
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Managed Interdependence is the realistic path for middle powers Local data centers do not equal sovereign AI Real sovereignty needs leverage, exits and supplier choice The clearest warning in the sovereign AI debate is not a
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EU trade de-risking should not be driven by import shares alone The real risk lies in concentrated, hard-to-replace inputs Europe needs selective resilience, not broad decoupling EU trade de-risking could fail in two c
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EU strategic autonomy depends on reducing critical bottlenecks, not cutting trade China-linked inputs matter most where Europe cannot switch suppliers quickly The answer is targeted de-risking, stockpiles and crisis planning
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Europe’s green transition depends on foreign-controlled supply chains Factories alone do not create industrial autonomy Selective de-risking is stronger than full decoupling In 2024, China supplied 98 per
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