Private credit fills the post-2008 regulatory gap left by Dodd-Frank Europe's bank-dependent market shifts as Basel rules bite Direct euro-area bank exposure stays small but concentrated Banks' share of busines
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Study tests three explanations for r*'s post-2020 rise Fiscal news, AI news, Fed meetings all fail to explain it AI news lowers r*; the increase remains unexplained The United States' natural real interest rate, kno
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The Economy Research Editorial*
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China's growth model relied on cheap, precarious labor Consumption pivot needs secure income precarious workers lack Ruling-class "welfare" framing blocks meaningful labor redistribution In China, almost half of urban workers no lon
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Türkiye's 2021–23 rate cuts and KKM shifted currency risk onto the state Washington and Tokyo now defend the yen via FIMA-collateralized borrowing instead Both cases buy time at rising cost, not remove the rate differential
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Emerging-market firms pay a persistent country-level borrowing premium Deeper local savings can widen access and lower yields Financial liberalisation expands access but adds global-rate exposure A company
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More information can worsen beliefs when signals are unrepresentative Trust shapes which economic signals households choose to believe Transparency works best when uncertainty and timing remain explicit In an international
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AI adoption follows economics, not technical exposure alone Lower costs can expand demand rather than eliminate jobs Comparative advantage determines where automation becomes commercially rational Technically e
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China’s trade power is becoming a financial transmission channel Emerging markets came first; advanced markets now respond too RMB policy could redirect larger Chinese capital flows abroad At the end of 2025,
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Korea adopts AI faster than productivity grows AI gains remain concentrated in higher-paid work Implementation determines whether efficiency becomes output AI now saves the global economy about $2.7 trillion a year in
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Growth equity bridges venture capital and traditional buyout investing It backs proven companies scaling without heavy leverage Fundraising pressure and liquidity needs are widening its role.
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EU plans 1,600 new sanctions targets by October Shadow fleet sanctions grew, Baltic oil flows barely dropped Gas-price spike pulled more Russian LNG into Europe Kaya Kalas often repeats a number.
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Russia claims stability; satellite data suggests otherwise Nighttime lights show persistent slowdown despite recovery claims Sanctions redistribute costs, concentrating damage in Russia's core The Russian Ministry of Econom
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AI may boost growth but not fix U.S. debt Capital, not labor, captures most AI-driven income gains Political spending risks outpacing any real AI dividend The U.S.
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Decoupling from China could cost $23.6 trillion Strategic dependence can make that cost economically rational Security benefits must be measured alongside economic costs The $23,6 trillion was released in July 2026 as a warn
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Singapore and Hong Kong's dollar pegs fit stablecoins naturally Japan restricts issuance but absorbs liquidity institutionally Southeast Asia's remittance workers drive bottom-up adoption In 2025, stablecoin funds moving w
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Berlin’s rent-cap legacy still depresses housing valuations Policy uncertainty pushed investors and builders toward caution Expropriation debate keeps regulatory risk embedded in prices By 2024, three years after Berlin's r
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Supply chain diversification reduces exposure to regional shocks Resilience now matters alongside cost efficiency in sourcing Redundancy helps firms survive geopolitical and infrastructure disruptions As of Feb
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Trump's Korea drill cut undercuts NATO's disciplined burden-sharing gains Seoul responded with avoidance, not compliance, bypassing Washington entirely Structured timelines work; personal impulse-driven pressure does not I
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Foreign exporters absorbed nearly half the 2025 tariff shock, new data show Toyota cut export prices instead of raising costs for American buyers Currency depreciation added a second, quieter discount alongside price cuts Toyot
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